The Suicidal Idiocy of the Western War on Russia
Imperial End-Timers are Going to Get Us All Killed
It is physically the largest country in the world, with the world’s largest nuclear arsenal, which now includes hypersonic missiles and terrifying nuclear submarine drones. It has one of the world’s largest and most advanced militaries, configured to operate in their euro-asian near abroad in attritional, artillery dominated warfare against massive enemy armies. It’s also the world’s ninth most populous country, with a plethora of natural resources, making it a key player in multiple commodity markets.
The Empire’s captains thinks it’s an excellent idea to fight this nation on its doorstep, in an existential battle it cannot afford to lose. And as evidence piles up (increasingly during the current, disastrous, Ukrainian counteroffensive) of both the futility of this effort, and of massive collateral economic and military damage to the West, not Russia, the Empire’s reaction is to continue to double down.
The terrifying question remains- how far will the Imperial West go to prevent a preordained Ukrainian loss, and the huge damage it will do to the Empire, and the reputation and political power of the fools who set the stage for it?
In multiple dimensions, the imperial end-timer’s quixotic crusade to defeat the Russian bear on the front step of its den has failed spectacularly. Economically, geo-politically, and militarily, the Empire and its European toadies have stumbled into not just one of the bear traps they laid, but three.
Economically, the world, and especially Western countries, have paid dearly for sanctions that foolishly tried to crush Russian finances. The effort to exclude Russia, one of the largest sources of raw materials on the planet, from the world economy, have predictably blown up in the West’s face. Seemingly unable to comprehend basic economic concepts such as supply and demand, and the knock on effects of rejecting cheap, piped Russian gas and oil and replacing them with much more expensive, difficult to handle LNG shipped from thousands of miles away, inflation has soared in the EU. And not only in the EU, even in the gas and oil producing US, as the world’s markets are warped by false scarcity created by sanctions. And along with EU populaces struggling to cope with inflated food and energy prices, European industry (and all the jobs it provides those struggling populaces) is staring into the abyss, finding inflated production costs have priced its products out of many markets.
And as new realities start to take hold, the knock on effects are starting to show. The Germans are seeing it when contemplating their next budget, legally mandated to balance. Whipsawed between falling tax revenue as German industry struggles, increased public subsidies to handle skyrocketing energy prices, and demands for greater military spending, the numbers simply don’t add up. Across the EU, the same problems will start popping up like toadstools after a rain, as crippling energy costs and militaristic budget demands fight for government resources with inflation wracked populaces. Populaces that will undoubtedly become even less and less amused as their governments, while cutting their benefits and raising taxes, fund an economically non-viable Ukraine, while also supporting masses of Ukrainian refugees on their own soil.
Geopolitically, the West has pushed for the rest of the world to join their anti-Russia crusade, to only see the non-West (the vast majority of the world) push back. The non-West, having seen the West’s own wars of aggression, and the disaster and instability they’ve spread across entire regions, have reacted with little amusement to the West’s sudden 180 in attitude on the morality of large countries invading small countries. Condemnations of Russia from these nations have been sparse, from reasoning that seems to range from “not really our business” to “you idiots provoked it.”
This latest Biden administration foreign relations face-plant has been characterized by the usual trappings of Biden’s imperial end-timer anti-diplomacy: demands, inflexibility, a complete lack of regard for others views and interests, and plain old rudeness. Seemingly living mentally in the Empire’s near past, where the US could issue orders, and expect much of the world, largely out of fear, to conform to them, the administration has been shocked to find their bullying is not only being ignored, it is being aggressively confronted by non-Western governments right and left. And along with the litany of smaller nations now ready to stand up and tell the US to pound sand, several very large nations have pointedly refused to cooperate with US policy.
India, Brazil, and Indonesia, three of the world’s largest countries, refuse to buy into Western narratives about the cause and true objective of this war, and have made those feelings clear, both in words and actions. Saudi Arabia, once a reliable, and still a vital, US ally, has repeatedly made moves that signal a complete disregard for US interests. As the US has repeatedly tried to manipulate oil prices with releases from strategic reserves, Saudi and OPEC+ have repeatedly made it crystal clear that controlling oil prices is their business (and their most important one, as they are completely dependent on it), and simply decreased production to void US moves. Additionally, they are steadily signalling their growing disregard for one of the key mechanisms propping up the dollar as a reserve currency- the petrodollar. Once unheard of oil deals done in currencies other than the dollar have become commonplace, each representing another cut thread in the petrodollar rope holding up the dollar’s value.
And possibly the most painful and damaging bear trap the Empire and pals have fallen on is their plan to militarily bleed, and eventually break, Russia. Pulling out every stop they could to demilitarize Russia, through their brilliant scheme to engage Russia on its doorstep, they have instead been thoroughly demilitarized themselves.
If you listen to the mockingbirds of the Imperial Press, you would think the situation was the exact opposite. That the Russians are about to run out of missiles, despite the continuous, regular rounds of Russian missile strikes. That the Ukrainians are somehow “winning”, despite no signs of advances after largely symbolic, and incredibly costly, offensives that looked primarily like Russian strategic withdrawals from vulnerable forward positions. Withdrawals that were handled so skillfully that almost no Russian troops were lost, while the Ukrainians had entire brigades wrecked as they moved into territory heavily covered by Russian artillery fire.
But even the stenographer press is smelling a turd. Hints of a much different, grimmer reality are now regularly nestled in otherwise cheerleading, Pollyanna-ish pieces: that the Ukrainians are suffering massive losses, are heavily overmatched in equipment and ammunition supplies, and are increasingly reduced to sending old men and the barely trained to the front lines.
This train wreck was long predicted, and the obvious outcome of choosing to fight Russia with an overmatched proxy adjacent to the Russian heartland. Any unbiased assessment of the strategic and tactical wisdom of this effort would have judged it as disastrously ill-conceived. A quixotic, clearly unwinnable quest that was guaranteed to end in Ukrainian defeat, and an eventual settlement that leaves Ukraine minus even more Russian leaning regions, even more economically and militarily crushed. A crippled rump of a state that will be completely dependent on continual Western economic support.
For anyone willing to look beyond Western hopium and copium reporting, and to use non-fairy tale based logic, the ever accelerating shredding of the Ukrainian military is obvious. A simple assessment based on the clearly stated, yet completely ignored, goals of the Russian operation makes this clear.
The primary goal of the operation is to demilitarize Ukraine- not to take the entirety of the country. Other than an early gambit to threaten Kiev and panic the Zelensky government into a quick settlement, the overriding goal has been to smash the Ukrainian military. Conditioned by a shockingly militarily ignorant and biased Western MSM to expect a quick “Shock and Awe” beatdown a la Iraq, the slow destruction of the Ukrainian forces has been mischaracterized as a “stalemate.” Only in the independent press will you see discussion of just how logical the Russian approach is. One, in a war they see as being conducted among a Russian population, it minimizes civilian deaths by establishing well defined fronts and battle areas. Second, the style both fits Russian doctrine and minimizes casualties, leaning on massive material superiority in artillery to crush enemies from afar. And third, in an existential struggle, you don’t necessarily worry about how quickly you win- you just have to make sure that you DO win. As the much larger combatant with corresponding resources, and with interior lines (again, right on the doorstep) to move those resources, time is inevitably on their side. Russia is going nowhere.
As for the West, they’re on a road to nowhere. Having emptied their weapons depots first of old Warsaw Pact equipment, then of old Western equipment, they are now reduced to asking everyone and their brother if they could spare a few artillery shells. Diplomatically, they keep lecturing the rest of planet on how THIS invasion is the ultimate crime against national sovereignty, not their disastrous interventions in Libya, Iraq, and Afghanistan, to increasingly deaf global South and non-Western ears. Economically, they keep cutting the crap out of themselves with their own sanctions knife, only to keep clumsily poking at the bear with it, and hurting themselves even more.
It is all crazy, illogical stuff, continual rote doubling down at every failure, expecting better results. Redlines are blasted through, as if they don’t know what else to do. Which will come first- giving up, and recognizing reality, or an act that will trigger World War Three? That terrifying question’s answer remains disturbingly unclear.